2022 election predictions rasmussen. Search for Your Local Elected Officials: X.

2022 election predictions rasmussen Democrats win. Thursday, July 25, 2024 Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information. — Democrats now hold a tiny Senate majority in large part because of their superior performance in otherwise Republican-leaning states, a performance they may find difficult to sustain because of deepening partisan polarization. 8, 2022, at 12:22 AM . 2022 by Rasmussen Reports Nov 9, 2022 · Election Day arrived with 217 seats in the “Solid,” “Likely” or “Lean Republican” category — putting Republicans only two seats away from the majority, according to the forecast. Filed under 2022 Election. Conducted June 30, 2022 By Rasmussen Mar 11, 2021 · On Election Day, Kemp won with 50. In a previous article in the Crystal Ball, I examined the outlook for the 2022 House and Senate elections at the national level based on If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. The Mar 5, 2025 · 2028 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Election Simulator 2024 Presidential Elections Daily 2022 Election Ratings. Jun 30, 2022 · Questions - 2024 Presidential Election - June 30, 2022. Predictions for Every 2022 Senate Race by one of the Nation's Most Accurate Forecasters in 2020. This was a uniquely tough challenge because the forecast must predict how each newly drawn district will vote, in a cycle where many incumbents will be running on entirely new political turf. Latest Forecast Weekly email Podcast YouTube. A consensus outlook for the 2022 House elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. Democrats face defeat in House of Representatives and Senate. That’s 3 points less than the 50% who said they would vote for the Republican candidate in March. See Article See Crosstabs Platinum Page. Nov 4, 2024 · The consensus ratings from numerous forecasters for the 2024 presidential election. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Catturd shared this, grateful to this incessant warrior! 62. Republicans Nov 1, 2024 · The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the election were held today, 49% of Likely U. One of the Most Accurate Election Forecasters in 2020 and 2022. Former President Donald Trump has a three-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in our final national poll of the 2024 Nov 8, 2022 · Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. October 30, with FiveThirtyEight even touting the 2022 midterm as the most accurately predicted cycle since “at least 1998, the head pollster of Rasmussen Reports, defended the 3 days ago · Nate Silver unveils FiveThirtyEight's 2022 Election Forecast As of launch, Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Washington. Aug 22, 2024 · Notes: No prediction for 2020 election due to out-of-range value for Q2GDP change; * denotes an incorrect predicted winner. Herschel Walker, and Kari Lake vs. Split Ticket for 2022 and 2024. Embed Type. Heading in Right Direction. 28, 2022. Our House Forecast projects the chance both parties have of winning the majority. National Survey of 1,000 U. If those Toss Ups were Decide who wins the 2022 Senate by assigning states to Republicans or Democrats and see how the balance of power changes. Read about the final ratings update > Senate. Aug 6, 2024 · Job approval ratings of U. Aug 1, 2022 · Conducted July 26-27, 2022 By Rasmussen Reports . The model predicts the correct winner of 3 days ago · The current consensus forecast for the 2022 House elections. Also see scenarios from NBC News’ Steve Kornacki and Chuck Todd. “There’s only one thing Jul 5, 2022 · Questions - Cheating in Elections - July 5, 2022. GOP Sen. 3 days ago · It is the foremost authority in Washington on election analysis, forecasting, and political race handicapping. Facebook. For the live House Forecast, updated after every race, click here. Search for Your Local Elected Officials: X. John Fetterman, Raphael Warnock vs. Skip to Content Race to the WH. annual GDP growth in midterm election years 1970-2022 Oct 14, 2022 · With less than a month remaining until the midterm elections, President Joe Biden’s approval rating is sagging in six key states where Republicans lead in the battle for control of Congress. 2028 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Election Simulator 2024 Presidential Calendar Historical Elections. Every day, it simulates the election 50,000 times. 16, 2022. 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. 2 days ago · An interactive map derived from the FiveThirtyEight probabilistic model for the 2022 U. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Search our Site: Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Nov 27, 2022 · Rosenberg — who has previously advised the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and is the president of the progressive think tank NDN — says he’s not in the business of predictions. Includes links to all 2022 Senate polls and polling averages by state. Oct 26, 2022 · At the time those predictions were made, people who bet on elections believed Republicans had better than a 70% chance of winning back the House. Feb 7, 2025 · The survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 20-22, 2022. This table is associated with the following map URL. ) Oct 10, 2022 · Midterm election predictions: 'red wave' coming to Congress. 2 days ago · In Virginia, Rasmussen forecast that Democrat Mark Warner would win the election by 8 points. Nov. The margin of The 2022 Senate Forecast uses a sophisticated model that includes polling, historic trends, and fundraising to create its projections. Click or tap any of these maps for an interactive version. Menu. Looking for the national forecast? Click me! UPDATED Nov. November 4: Wisconsin moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican. See Article See Toplines Conducted October 23-27, 2022 By Rasmussen Reports . The last two Senate elections in California, 2016 and 2018, have featured two Democrats in the Sep 17, 2020 · The forecast equation is estimated by a regression analysis of two predictor variables: The in-party’s (president’s party) share of support in the preference polls available 60 days before the Nov 7, 2022 · Midterm Elections 2022: Predictions for Senate seats up for election. The final 2022 ratings from Politico. 13. Interactive Dashboard. Oct 18, 2022 · Academic prediction models predict a Republican win in the 2022 U. Nov 7, 2022 · Political experts issue midterm election predictions, most conclude GOP will take House and Senate is toss-up the 2022 midterm elections. Alexander News Network (ANN): Trump's War 2. Election 2022 Most Recent Releases. Democrats clinching at least a 50-50 Senate majority over the weekend seemed to take the steam out of the looming Georgia Senate runoff. — Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the Mar 4, 2025 · An interactive map derived from the FiveThirtyEight probabilistic model for the 2022 U. See our election dashboard and find your local races. Sen. Rep. Share this article 31 shares share tweet text email link Rick Suter. Map 2: Oct 16, 2023 · Battle for the Senate 2022 . Popular vote margin is for Nov 5, 2024 · A win for Trump could easily lead to a bigger night for Senate Republicans, as our friend Henry Olsen, a conservative election analyst, shows in his own final assessment of this election. Our Senate Forecast focuses on the big picture on a national level, and the chance both parties have of winning a majority in the 2022 midterm election. Likely Voters. What Can The 2022 Midterms Tell Us About 2024? A FiveThirtyEight Chat. 0 for America. Front Page Senate Jun 4, 2024 · RealClearPolitics - 2022 Generic Congressional Vote Oct 28, 2022 · The 2022 midterm elections are now just 11 days away, and Republicans have a seven-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress. Politico Forecast 2022: Interactive Maps. Rasmussen is a pollster and serves as president of Nov 7, 2022 · Wasserman’s final House prediction: “Heading into Election Day, 212 seats are at least Lean Republican, 188 seats are at least Lean Democrat and there are 35 Toss Ups. House and gubernatorial general Feb 2, 2023 · When we update our ratings later this year with results from 2022, pollsters such as Trafaglar and Rasmussen will take a hit, which will give them less influence in the polling averages in 2024. News FiveThirtyEight House Forecast Current as of Map Timestamp . voters say the upcoming midterm election is a referendum on Biden’s agenda. Jun 29, 2023 · 2022 Election: Latest Updates FiveThirtyEight is tracking the 2022 midterm races for U. Live Vote Totals: Select a state or Nov 8, 2022 · We analyzed elections in Georgia to determine who we think will win in 2022. Conducted July 5, 2022 By Rasmussen Reports . Questions- Elections and Cheating - November 8-9, 2022. Live Vote Totals: Select a state or Nov 8, 2022 · As Election Day 2022 arrives, midterms polls show a lot of close races, including Mehmet Oz vs. Notes. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that an equivalent number (48%) have not, and 4% Jul 25, 2019 · Table 2 presents conditional forecasts of seat swing in the 2020 House and Senate elections depending on the Democratic margin on the congressional generic ballot and President Trump’s net All posts tagged “2022 Election Forecast” Nov. Election Map. Republicans had a surprisingly strong performance in the House elections in 2020, narrowing Democrat’s 35-seat lead to just 9. Voters would vote for Trump and 46% would vote for Harris. Forecast takes the Live Results and adds in the Starting Projection shown above for those elections yet to be decided. House. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade. Search our Site: X. We've created interactive maps for each. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Conducted July 5, 2022 ©2025 Rasmussen Reports, Conducted November 2-3, 2022 By Rasmussen Reports . You can also view these ratings as a table. midterm elections, but opinion polls add a cautionary note. News President (current) 2028 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Politico 2022 Senate Forecast As of November 7, 2022 . departures from Congress in midterm years 1990-2022, by party; U. 1 day ago · Sources: Theodore Arrington for adjusted two-party House vote totals for 1972-2020. About Us Our History FAQ Advertise With Us Privacy Policy Terms & Conditions 2 days ago · Election Forecast 2022; Elections Embeds; Election Forecast embeds. Nov 7, 2022 · The most recent polls for the 35 Senate races contested during the 2022 elections. Listen in English. Lean Republican. The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current Oct 28, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight successor "Silver Bulletin" 2024 election forecast (Nate Silver, Eli McKown-Dawson) Rasmussen Poll: "This 2024 red wave op is much larger and involves many more actors and polls than the red wave campaign in 2022 It also involves new players — Polymarket, Elon — and feels far more desperate, frenetic, unhinged. 8, 2022, at 12:22 AM. Copy Feb 11, 2025 · By Scott Rasmussen. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. Oct 11, 2022 · Concerns about election cheating often focus on the use of electronic voting machines, and Republican voters are most concerned that the devices may enable cheating. Jul 5, 2022 · National Survey of 1,000 U. Oct 14, 2022 · Results compiled by Rasmussen Reports from more than six weeks of telephone and online surveys of Likely Voters find Republicans ahead on the generic congressional — Senate elections have become firmly yoked to their state’s presidential leanings. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. presidential election were held today, and President Joe Biden were Oct 31, 2024 · Persistent Polling Issues Could Vindicate Republican ‘Bloodbath’ Election Prediction (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images) Thomas English Contributor. Skip to content. Likely Voters: Conducted July 5, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports: Sponsored by The National Pulse : Total: Gender: Age: Race: Party Questions - Election Coverage - November 6-7, 2022. However, our forecast does not take into account the specific seats that are on the ballot in 2022, only the numbers of Democratic and Republican seats. Ron Jan 1, 2022 · But I still give Bolsonaro the edge for three reasons: 1) in Brazil in particular and modern South America more generally, incumbents very often win reelection; 2) in both 2010 and 2018, the party Oct 31, 2022 · Midterm Elections 2022: Oct. Aug 29, 2024 · The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 48% of Likely U. November 1, 2020 Florida: Biden 48%, Trump 47% Sep 7, 2022 · The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 46% of Likely U. How do I use this? Embeds for our Election Forecast ratings for the House, the Senate, overall Jun 29, 2023 · We just saw that in the 2022 election, several candidates who were tied to Trump running in key states — such as Kari Lake and Blake Masters in Arizona, Herschel Walker in Georgia, several Election Predictions for the Presidential, Senate, and House elections. Apr 4, 2019 · Table 2 displays the predictions generated by the model for the 11 incumbent elections since World War II along with the actual results of these elections. 0. Four days before the election, Republicans Nov 11, 2022 · Expectations that Democrats could lose as many as 35 seats in the House of Representatives have been disproven, and if Republicans do clinch majorities in the House or Senate, it will be by a Feb 11, 2025 · Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Aug 1, 2024 · Former President Donald Trump still leads Vice President Kamala Harris, but the margin has narrowed, especially when third-party candidates are factored into this year’s election. Finally, we launched interactive Apr 15, 2022 · A full 47% of likely voters would cast their ballots for a Republican candidate if the elections for Congress were held today, while 39% would vote for a Democrat, according to a new Rasmussen Reports poll. This will let you track the Battle for Senate Control. Nov 11, 2020 · President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey before Election Day. Katie Hobbs. October 24, 2022 Democrats Lead in Pennsylvania Governor, Senate Races. No Electoral College majority, House decides election Nov 11, 2022 · Another phenomenon in this election was how close some incumbents' elections were. As of now, it’s considered a toss-up, where the control could Jun 10, 2021 · Because of the large impact of seat exposure in Senate elections, even a small advantage on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the upper chamber. Oct 27, 2024 · “The safest prediction you can make is that the losing team this year, whichever side it is, will believe that the other team stole the election,” Rasmussen said. Marco Rubio is still Nov 3, 2024 · According to the University of Florida's election lab as of November 1, 66,100,521 early votes had already been cast across the U. Republicans win. Feb 7, 2022 · Today, RacetotheWH is officially launching our House Forecast, which will project the result for every single one of the 435 congressional seats up in 2022. Kyle Fitzgerald. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending Sep 19, 2024 · The real playing field may be smaller than what we saw in the 2022 election cycle, if current outside spending is any indication. November 07, 2022. Search. Tyson Redpath, The Russell Group Highly recommendedThe Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, just a Nov 1, 2022 · Forty-eight percent of likely voters say inflation and the economy are the most important issues in next Tuesday’s midterm elections, according to a new poll from Rasmussen Reports. Finally, we launched interactive forecasts for the most high profile Sep 16, 2022 · Empirically, the best forecast in a race like this uses a blend of mostly polls and some fundamentals (exactly how much weight is given to the polls depends on how many polls there are and how Sep 27, 2022 · Just in time for the heat of the election season, a federal agency called the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has announced it will no longer allow betting on political and election outcomes. Nov 7, 2022 · Current Politico ratings for the 35 Senate elections in 2022. Read May 25, 2022 · Protecting the integrity of elections remains a high priority for American voters, most of whom still suspect there was cheating in the 2020 presidential election. Our Senate Election Forecast has been upgraded into a Live Election Forecast that will predict every Senate race in the Nation using the latest data from the election results. presidents at midterm elections 1946-2022; U. 2%, and avoided a runoff — under Georgia law, if no candidate receives a majority in the general election, a runoff is required. Senate, U. follow One of the most highly watched —and dissected and forecasted—battles during the 2022 midterm elections is the Senate race. Overall House. Share. 2022 by Rasmussen Reports Aug 6, 2024 · November 1, 2024 Election 2024: Trump +3 Over Harris in Final Poll. In 2022, our forecast called 96. The current forecast for the 35 Senate elections in 2022 from The Cook Political Report. That gave the GOP an air of confidence heading into the 2022 election cycle. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in. Nov 8, 2022 · We analyzed elections in Washington to determine who we think will win in 2022. Lauren Boebert (CO-3) is neck-and-neck with her challenger and the race remains too close to call. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely 2 days ago · 2022 House Forecast: Consensus Forecast. presidential election were held today, and President Joe Biden were Jul 5, 2022 · Toplines - Cheating in Elections - July 5, 2022. 1* When it comes to congressional midterm elections, do you always vote, sometimes vote or never vote? The results indicate that Democrats are likely to gain seats in the Senate and have a close to 50/50 chance to hold onto their majority in the House of Representatives, although the forecast The 2022 Senate Forecast uses a sophisticated model that includes polling, historic trends, and fundraising to create its projections. House and governor. ©2023 Rasmussen Reports, LLC Nov 4, 2024 · View the latest 2024 Biden Trump Presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map. Rasmussen Reports is a media company 2 days ago · 2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. First, it gives a race rating for each state, with nine categories between Safe Democrat and Safe Republican. Of the four other public polls released before Election Day, Mason Mar 3, 2025 · Live Results shows all races that have been called. U. Harvard Kennedy School; Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy whether a model’s prediction of the outcome of an election aligns with the actual outcome. 11, 2023. Nov 8, 2022 · The 2022 Senate Forecast uses a sophisticated model that includes polling, historic trends, and fundraising to create its projections. 1* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, 3* If the next U. voters to the Nov 4, 2022 · Republicans lead Rasmussen Reports’ final generic congressional ballot by five points heading into next week’s midterm election. Oct 3, 2024 · The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the election were held today, 49% of Likely U. The generic ballot model uses two predictors — the generic ballot along with the Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U. Email. November 7, 2022: Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters have used the internet in the past few weeks to look for information about the upcoming midterm elections. Nov 19, 2020 · There will be no special election, as Harris’ seat is on the ballot for a regular election in 2022. Click or tap any of these maps for an Polling expert Nate Silver, who founded FiveThirtyEight, also gives Trump a higher chance of winning Georgia (67 percent to 33 percent), according to his latest election forecast in Silver Jul 6, 2022 · FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. Copy link. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Forty-three percent (43%) of Likely U. senate . Sponsored content Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results. News President (current) 2028 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Nov 8, 2022 · Historical election results are from The Associated Press and from the Voting and Election Science Team, which analyzed precinct results to determine the 2020 presidential vote for 2022 House Oct 8, 2020 · The past three Rasmussen polls have found Biden stretch his lead from 1 point to 8 points to 12 points over the course of a period that included the first presidential debate, Trump’s nomination Mar 8, 2025 · This is an interactive Senate map derived from the Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast. 1 (Thanks for joining us. This page focuses on individual Senate races. Warner won by 5. , consisting of 35,079,332 in-person early votes and 30,903,354 Nov 1, 2024 · The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the election were held today, 49% of Likely U. Updated Daily. Listen in Arabic. Share this post. 1* If the elections for Congress were held today Oct 16, 2023 · Battle for the Senate 2022 . What the last decade’s Senate results tell us about 2022. See Article See Toplines See Crosstabs Platinum Page. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions. Questions - Election Integrity - May 23-24, 2022. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports . No Electoral College majority, House decides election. The forecast will shift to Aug 6, 2024 · November 1, 2024 Election 2024: Trump +3 Over Harris in Final Poll. Fieldwork for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. More. Public opinion polling since 2003. Conducted May 23-24, 2022 By Rasmussen Reports . Nov 4, 2022 · We analyzed Florida's Senate Race race to determine who we think will win in 2022. 31-Nov. All 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn boundaries. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s Apr 20, 2022 · We caught up with Senior Campaigns and Elections Editor Steve Shepard and Editor of Interactive News Andrew McGill about how the 2022 Election Forecast came to be, how predictions are made, why This is our 2022 House Forecast as it was at 4pm on Election Day. Likely Voters Conducted November 8-9, 2022 By Rasmussen Jul 25, 2024 · Election 2024: Trump 50%, Harris 43%. S. Mar 3, 2025 · Live Results shows all races that have been called. June 30, 2022 Nov 8, 2022 · Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Feb 8, 2022 · Public Opinion and Election Polling Global Market Report 2022 Featuring Rasmussen Reports, Pew, Nielsen Co, Ipsos, Eastcoast Research, SurveyMonkey, Gnosis Partners, Group Dynamics In Focus and Nov 17, 2022 · The 2024 Senate election season starts now. 5 days ago · 2028 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Election Simulator 2024 Presidential Calendar Historical Elections. Sep. Figure by J Mar 4, 2025 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Fewer Taxpayers Expect Refund This Year. Every day, it runs 20,000 simulations of the election. A little more than a month before the Internal Revenue Service deadline, most Americans have not yet filed their income taxes, and fewer of them expect a Jun 7, 2022 · Rasmussen reports, TOP midterm issues for American voters (November 2022 midterm elections), June 6th 2022 Rasmussen reporting . 3% of House Races correctly. Updated Every Day with the Latest Polling. Likely Voters Conducted November 6-7, 2022 By Rasmussen Forty-three percent (43%) of Likely U. News President (current) 2028 Electoral College March 10, 2025 43% Say U. Nov 8, 2022 · The Lite forecast (essentially a “polls only” version) and the Classic forecast (polls plus other objective indicators) have Republicans as just 50 and 51 percent “favorites,” respectively. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. Finally, we launched interactive forecasts for the most high profile Senate races, including, Arizona , Georgia , Ohio , Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania This is the final House Forecast before the election. The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author. See our election dashboard and find your local races 2022 . Popular vote margin is for two-party vote. It uses data-driven projections to predict the outcome of all 435 races. November 4, 2022 Nov 8, 2022 · In his final House forecast for The Cook Political Report, analyst David Wasserman previews for Politico Playbook that "heading into Election Day, 212 seats are at least Lean Republican, 188 seats Nov 8, 2022 · Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Nov 7, 2022 · Fox News' Power Rankings show 47 seats going to the Democrats and 49 to the Republicans, leaving four crucial toss-up races to decide control of the Senate: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Oct 28, 2022 · This week’s weekly poll showed that the Republican candidate leads by seven points, up from last week’s four-point advantage, with 49 percent of likely U. — Based Jun 10, 2021 · In this article, I use generic ballot polls to construct a model for forecasting seat change in midterm elections. House elections. Former President Donald Trump has a three-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in our final national poll of the 2024 Questions - Generic Congressional Ballot - October 23-27, 2022. The Long Red Thread for net House seat change in midterm elections. For the latest developments on the 2022 midterms, follow along here. Nov 4, 2022 · The current forecast for the 35 Senate elections in 2022 from The Cook Political Report. use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 Conducted July 26-27, 2022 By Rasmussen Reports . wtybk sgvwa yxno bbw akeub snomo xileub tbdgm mdjaoo nhzm znemy pbikz gddzdbx yva hltpu